Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2546.364598 2761.128526 2979.340317 3217.341874 3469.304577 3727.795104 4012.714158
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2209.085243 2528.264452 2865.304647 3246.525966 3664.521009 4107.694928 4611.870953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1974.563024 2353.589135 2765.460421 3243.821422 3781.615624 4365.082434 5043.434109
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1834.697926 2261.916912 2737.227580 3301.219471 3948.044025 4662.594921 5507.440316
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1674.908038 2131.308577 2650.339238 3278.422189 4011.855483 4835.276193 5823.432537
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1591.907813 2081.661813 2649.157515 3347.366013 4175.043298 5116.744265 6260.676219
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1494.392445 2006.674244 2611.122115 3366.666551 4275.142659 5321.768553 6607.614481
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1400.200273 1928.998155 2563.872119 3369.469176 4351.167089 5495.393102 6915.922333
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1266.611817 1794.169328 2439.530287 3271.663369 4300.109769 5513.517087 7036.382981
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1241.474123 1795.019701 2481.536446 3377.095240 4495.229702 5825.985313 7509.049179
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1201.991170 1774.460446 2494.346998 3444.424928 4642.647727 6081.014758 7913.987454
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1136.154422 1715.490112 2454.960163 3443.083142 4702.675657 6228.442277 8188.252384
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1058.068570 1637.408660 2388.960964 3406.741634 4719.020739 6323.912855 8402.637334
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1012.242464 1601.003941 2375.741969 3437.219153 4819.408829 6523.779947 8747.161871
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 957.150269 1548.744778 2338.825333 3434.396356 4875.448127 6667.339903 9021.822065
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 929.328314 1533.294407 2350.117537 3494.296084 5012.056943 6912.538537 9424.685947
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 873.576298 1474.954413 2300.435334 3470.506525 5037.920737 7016.441827 9649.789000
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 854.650254 1469.079774 2322.193269 3542.445885 5189.340634 7280.902753 10079.173983
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 819.637590 1437.626763 2306.777009 3562.582186 5271.535270 7456.540581 10396.508427
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 781.254698 1399.212708 2279.879553 3565.506070 5329.782605 7600.870829 10674.194372
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 712.894884 1311.690291 2179.649001 3463.453183 5244.009963 7555.669277 10706.356628
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 711.913971 1328.590591 2230.431680 3573.461956 5446.377982 7888.604836 11229.449901
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 699.404784 1326.607000 2253.164552 3643.695439 5594.866875 8151.690289 11663.685420